Brand Owners Are Embracing Digital and AI in Packaging

2026 U.S. Packaging Brand Owners Study Part 2
April 13, 2026

Brand owners are already using a wide range of digital tools and artificial intelligence (AI) use cases across the packaging value chain, and they plan to significantly increase their usage over the next three years as they view the impact of these technologies to be overwhelmingly positive. Their use of digital tools is highest in traceability features and business-to-business (B2B) customer portals, while AI adoption is most prevalent in product development and procurement/sourcing.

That’s according to L.E.K. Consulting’s proprietary eighth annual U.S. Brand Owner Packaging study, for which we surveyed 450 U.S. brand managers and packaging stakeholders in the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026.

Brand owners think most digital tools have a positive impact

Brand owners currently leverage a number of digital tools across the packaging value chain. Categories range from traceability features that provide end-to-end visibility into material sourcing, production and distribution history to software that enables rapid virtual design, testing and iteration of packaging concepts prior to physical prototyping (see Figure 1).

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Digital tools
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Digital tools

Brand owner awareness is highest for traceability features (85% of respondents) and B2B customer portals (81%) (see Figure 2). Awareness of digital tools is meaningfully higher among consumer packaged goods (CPGs) than it is among foodservice operators, according to the respondent feedback. 

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Awareness of digital tools applicable to organization (2026)
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Awareness of digital tools applicable to organization (2026)

Those are also the most widely used, at approximately 73% and 79%, respectively, figures that are forecast to rise to roughly 92% and 94%, respectively, over the next three years. Meanwhile, some 45% of brand owners have already implemented smart, connected packaging and 46% are using digital prototyping software — and by 2028, those numbers are predicted to almost double, to approximately 88% and 89%, respectively. Indeed, at least 74% of respondents believe that each of the digital tools they use has a positive impact on the packaging value chain (see Figure 3).

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Digital tool implementation and impact
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Digital tool implementation and impact

When it comes to AI use cases, product development (around 84%) and procurement/sourcing (around 82%) are the most commonly known and have the highest adoption rates (approximately 74% and 69%, respectively). But brand owners intend to expand their use of AI even further over the next three years, especially in customer-focused marketing, which they plan to take from around 52% to 88%, and product performance monitoring, which they plan to increase from around 57% to 90% (see Figure 4).

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AI use case implementation among aware and applicable population (2026)
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AI use case implementation among aware and applicable population (2026)

The brand owners we surveyed expect that AI will deliver a broadly positive impact across the packaging value chain going forward (see Figure 5). 

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AI use case impact on packaging value chain (2026)
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AI use case impact on packaging value chain (2026)

Meanwhile, leading brand owners are increasingly investing in innovative digital tools and AI use cases that enhance packaging and product branding. In 2025, for example, Nestlé R&D together with IBM Research created a generative AI tool that can identify novel high-barrier packaging materials, and Unilever said that it was leveraging real-time, physically accurate 3D technology to create digital twins of its products, each of which “contains all its variants, labels, packaging and language formats within a single file.” 

For more deep dives from our four-part series, don’t miss our look at how foodservice brands are approaching packaging and how that differs from CPG brands, our summary of how brand owners’ sourcing strategies are evolving, and our report on how packaging is impacting brands’ success.

If you would like access to the full study results, please contact us.

L.E.K. Consulting is a registered trademark of L.E.K. Consulting LLC. All other products and brands mentioned in this document are properties of their respective owners. © 2026 L.E.K. Consulting LLC

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Beyond K-12: Mapping the Next M&A Upswing in Education

February 27, 2026

Beyond K-12, higher education continues to show strong structural tailwinds. As economies push for growth, governments are increasingly supportive of private higher-ed, and AI is accelerating the need for upskilling and continuous education. These shifts are creating meaningful opportunities for operators and investors alike. 

Watch Ashwin Assomull’s final video in the three-part Education Summit video series for more insights and on-the-ground perspectives. 

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How Legal MSOs Are Restructuring Law Firm Operations

February 25, 2026

The legal services market is large and fragmented and generates consistent demand. Yet law firms have historically underinvested in technology and back-office infrastructure, operating more as attorney-led partnerships than modern service businesses.

This underinvestment is becoming harder to sustain. Client acquisition has grown more competitive, technology expectations have risen and compliance requirements have expanded. But traditional partnership structures constrain the capital needed to keep pace.

The barrier has been regulatory: ABA Model Rule 5.4 restricts nonlawyer ownership, fee sharing and control of law firms across most U.S. jurisdictions. Rather than wait for those rules to change, firms and investors have organized around them through managed services organizations (MSOs).

Momentum is building. Uplift Investors formed Orion Legal MSO with Dudley DeBosier Injury Lawyers in 2025, and legal industry observers report that roughly a dozen MSO deals closed in 2025, primarily in personal injury and mass tort practices.

L.E.K. Consulting has written previously about alternative business structures (ABSs), which allow direct equity investment in a handful of states. But MSOs remain the more established pathway, working across jurisdictions without requiring new regulatory approvals.

The legal MSO model: Definition and context

The MSO model originated in healthcare, where regulations prevent nonphysicians from owning medical practices. MSOs emerged as a workaround: A separate entity handles administrative functions while physicians retain ownership and control of the clinical practice. The structure has since scaled across dentistry, ophthalmology and other healthcare specialties.

In the context of legal services, an MSO is a separate operating company that provides back-office services to a law firm under a long-term management services agreement. Under this agreement, attorneys control all legal work while the MSO owns and runs the business infrastructure, typically handling marketing and intake, technology and data systems, finance and accounting, human resources (HR) and recruiting, facilities and procurement, and administrative operations. The MSO often employs and sets performance metrics to manage the firm’s entire nonlegal workforce.

How MSOs differ from ABSs and traditional outsourcing

ABSs allow direct equity ownership in law firms, whereas MSOs maintain separation; investors own the MSO entity, which contracts with the attorney-owned law firm to provide services.

Traditional outsourcing handles discrete tasks such as payroll, information technology (IT) support or bookkeeping. MSOs take over the entire business side: all back-office operations, technology infrastructure and administrative functions under a single long-term contract.

Some platforms, such as Federate, Legal Back Office or Delegate.Legal, provide MSO-like operations through an outsourced service model. Investor-owned MSOs are built around an investable entity with long-term contract economics.

Law firm functional taxonomy and MSO structure

Law firms operate across six functional areas. Under the MSO model, legal work and attorney-supervised roles remain with the firm. Everything else moves to the MSO: marketing and intake, technology and data systems, finance and accounting, HR and recruiting, facilities and procurement, and administrative operations.

These functional areas break down as follows:

  1. Legal delivery and professional judgment. All attorney work, legal strategy, case decisions and supervision of substantive legal work must remain with the attorney-owned law firm under ABA Model Rule 5.4.
  2. Client relationships and regulated activities. Client engagement agreements, client files, trust accounts and conflicts management must stay with the law firm because they involve fiduciary duties that cannot be delegated to nonlawyers.
  3. Business development and marketing. Lead generation, intake operations, call centers and advertising spend can move to the MSO. Synergies emerge from scale, data infrastructure and specialized expertise that many firms cannot build internally.
  4. Operations and technology. IT systems, case management platforms and process automation can move to the MSO. Synergies come from centralized purchasing power and access to specialized technical talent.
  5. Finance and human capital. Accounting, HR, recruiting, payroll and benefits administration can move to the MSO. Synergies include economies of scale in benefits negotiation and centralized payroll systems.
  6. Real estate and facilities. Office leases as well as equipment, facilities management and vendor contracts can move to the MSO. Synergies arise from bulk purchasing and lease negotiation leverage.

The paralegal question. Paralegals sit at the boundary. They may be employed by the MSO but must remain under attorney supervision from the law firm and cannot provide independent legal advice. North Carolina State Bar guidelines confirm that paralegals can be employed by entities other than law firms as long as they perform substantive legal work for which a lawyer remains responsible.

The organizational chart below illustrates how these functional areas split between the law firm and the MSO in a typical midsize firm.

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Figure 1 represents typical midsize firm law firm org chart
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Figure 1 represents typical midsize firm law firm org chart

How MSOs get paid without fee splitting

All legal fees belong to the law firm. The MSO is compensated through a management fee defined in the management services agreement. ABA Model Rule 5.4 prohibits this fee from being calculated as a percentage of the law firm’s legal revenues or profits. Texas Ethics Opinion 706 (February 2025) confirmed this prohibition.

Common compliant fee structures are flat monthly or annual fees or cost-plus pricing where the firm reimburses the MSO for actual operating costs plus a predetermined margin.

The fee must reflect fair market value; when benchmarked against comparable market pricing, it should fall within a reasonable range. MSOs document their costs, pricing methodology and industry benchmarking to demonstrate compliance.

The law firm collects client revenues, pays the MSO its management fee and distributes the remaining funds to partners after covering legal expenses and attorney compensation.

What this means for law firms and investors

Healthcare provides a useful precedent. When corporate practice of medicine doctrines prevented nonphysicians from owning clinics, the MSO model emerged as a work-around. The model has since scaled nationally across dentistry, ophthalmology, anesthesia and a number of other specialties.

Legal MSOs work when the division between legal practice and business operations is genuine and when the MSO delivers operational value. The value proposition differs by stakeholder:

For law firms: MSOs provide a path to professionalize the business side, attract capital and build scalable infrastructure without violating ethics rules.

For investors: MSOs offer exposure to legal services within existing regulatory constraints. The model is structured around fee-based cash flows from the MSO. Returns come from operational efficiencies, margin expansion and the ability to scale a platform across firms.

As firms face increasing operational complexity and investors seek entry into a large, fragmented market, MSOs have become the most practical structure available.

But structure alone doesn’t guarantee success. In our next article, we’ll look at how investors evaluate legal MSOs, where the model fits best and what breaks when these deals are done poorly.

L.E.K. works with law firms and investors navigating these structures. Reach out to discuss how an MSO might fit your strategy.

L.E.K. Consulting is a registered trademark of L.E.K. Consulting LLC. All other products and brands mentioned in this document are properties of their respective owners. © 2026 L.E.K. Consulting LLC

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Executive Insights

L.E.K. Consulting’s 2025 US Health System Executive Survey: How Prepared Is Your Health System to Solve the Access-Capacity Equation?

February 26, 2026

Key takeaways

More than 90% of health system executives report significant challenges with patient access and system capacity.

Referral handoff breakdowns, ineffective patient outreach efforts and limited capacity are among the most pressing barriers to access.

Staffing gaps and infrastructure constraints remain the most acute capacity challenges, directly impacting patient throughput.

Health systems are acting on both fronts — managing margin impacts while advancing access and capacity growth.

For today’s health systems, patient access and system capacity are inseparable. The ability to meet community demand depends on getting both right. In L.E.K. Consulting’s 2025 Health System Executive Survey, more than 90% of U.S. executives said they face significant challenges on these fronts, from dropped referrals to workforce shortages.

These issues directly shape health systems’ growth and long-term resilience as well as the patient experience. In this edition of Executive Insights, we explore what executives tell us about the access and capacity challenges they are facing, the actions they are taking to address them and how leaders can better position their systems for sustained long-term growth.

The access challenge

Access barriers continue to frustrate hospitals and health systems, with executives citing three as most pressing (see Figure 1):

  1. Breakdowns in referral handoffs: Patients often fail to pursue follow-up or specialty care after an initial diagnosis, leading to treatment gaps. These breakdowns reflect gaps in care coordination across providers and sites and highlight the lack of consistent navigation support once patients leave the initial care setting.
  2. Outreach effectiveness: Outreach programs frequently fail to demonstrate return on investment and often struggle with patient engagement, scheduling follow-through and addressing transportation barriers. This is particularly challenging in underserved communities where the need for access expansion is the greatest.
  3. System capacity limits: Leaders see provider and site capacity constraints as a critical barrier, because patient demand is met with scheduling delays that undermine timely access to care.

Figure 1

Patient access challenges currently facing hospitals/health systems (2025)

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Figure 1 represents patient access challenges currently facing hospitals/health systems (2025)

Figure 1

Patient access challenges currently facing hospitals/health systems (2025)

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Figure 1 represents patient access challenges currently facing hospitals/health systems (2025)

Executives see patient access as a multidimensional challenge, with barriers across coordination, capacity and outreach that ultimately shape trust, outcomes and financial performance.

The capacity challenge

These access challenges do not exist in a vacuum. Even the most effective navigation programs or outreach campaigns can fall short if hospitals lack the staff, beds or procedural space to absorb additional patients. In our survey, executives cited two primary capacity challenges — staffing and infrastructure shortages (see Figure 2):

  • Staff shortages: A lack of clinical support staff availability was the most frequently cited bottleneck, followed closely by a lack of physician availability. Gaps in nursing and other clinical support staff roles strain day-to-day operations, making it difficult to maintain safe staffing ratios and consistent patient flow, which can force hospitals to delay procedures or divert patients. Ongoing staffing shortages also increase burnout risk for existing teams, creating a cycle of turnover that compounds access challenges.
  • Infrastructure shortages: Constrained physical assets, such as inpatient beds, operating rooms and procedural space, remain a major challenge for many systems. Inpatient bed capacity is increasingly misaligned with today’s patient population; older, higher-acuity patients drive demand that existing infrastructure cannot absorb. As a result, many hospitals face delayed admissions, emergency department (ED) boarding and/or more frequent diversions, leaving little flexibility to manage fluctuations in volume.

Figure 2

Capacity constraints limiting hospitals’/health systems’ ability to meet current patient demand (2025)

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Figure 2 represents capacity constraints limiting hospitals’/health systems’ ability to meet current patient demand (2025)

Figure 2

Capacity constraints limiting hospitals’/health systems’ ability to meet current patient demand (2025)

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Figure 2 represents capacity constraints limiting hospitals’/health systems’ ability to meet current patient demand (2025)

How are health systems addressing these challenges?

For health systems, effectively addressing access and capacity challenges is critical to improving patient outcomes while maintaining financial sustainability.

Health systems are taking a range of actions to break down access barriers (see Figure 3). The most common action is offering care navigation support (e.g., digital self-scheduling portals, automated appointment reminders, nurse or care management coordinators) to help patients move more seamlessly from outreach to appointments and follow-up care. Others are piloting new care delivery models, such as mobile clinics, to extend their reach into underserved communities. A growing number of organizations are also leveraging data analytics and patient risk profiles to ensure programs are focused on those most likely to benefit from them.

Figure 3

Hospital and health system planned or existing strategies to improve patient access (2025)

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Figure 3 represents hospital and health system planned or existing strategies to improve patient access (2025)

Figure 3

Hospital and health system planned or existing strategies to improve patient access (2025)

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Figure 3 represents hospital and health system planned or existing strategies to improve patient access (2025)

At the same time, leaders are investing in strategies to ease capacity constraint. Hiring and retaining staff remains a top priority, with executives citing recruitment and enhanced compensation as critical levers for stabilizing the workforce. Yet adding staff alone is not enough, as workforce supply remains constrained and patient demand will continue to outpace available capacity.

Nearly 40% of respondents are redesigning workflows and schedules to improve throughput, such as creating fast-track ED pathways, using artificial intelligence (AI)-driven scheduling tools to maximize provider availability and standardizing discharge processes, to ensure that limited resources can accommodate as much demand as possible.

More than a third of health systems are shifting appropriate care to ambulatory or other lower-acuity settings in order to alleviate overcrowded inpatient units. By strengthening care management and triage processes (e.g., hybrid ED-urgent care models), hospitals can ensure patients receive care in the most appropriate and lowest-cost setting based on their needs. Others are reallocating staff, equipment and resources across sites to better match demand.

Not all these strategies have the same financial implications (see Figure 4). Some — such as expanded recruitment efforts and wage increases, physician infrastructure expansions or a reliance on external staffing partners — can place additional pressure on margins. By contrast, initiatives such as workflow redesign, site-of-care shifts and staff reallocation can improve efficiency and margin performance over time.

Figure 4

Hospitals’/health systems’ planned or existing strategies to address capacity constraints (2025)

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Figure 4 represents hospitals’/health systems’ planned or existing strategies to address capacity constraints (2025)

Figure 4

Hospitals’/health systems’ planned or existing strategies to address capacity constraints (2025)

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Figure 4 represents hospitals’/health systems’ planned or existing strategies to address capacity constraints (2025)

This divergence highlights a central leadership challenge: how to pursue essential access and capacity strategies while preserving financial health. At L.E.K., we have worked with health system leaders to navigate these trade-offs, from addressing physician and human capital shortages to optimizing site-of-care models and deploying enabling technologies. Our experience shows that when margin-neutral or margin-negative moves are required, disciplined execution and complementary strategies can mitigate downside risk and set systems on a stronger long-term trajectory.

Conclusion

The goal for health systems and hospitals is straightforward: ensure patients can reliably enter the system and receive care when and where they need it. Access without capacity leaves patients waiting; capacity without access leaves resources underused. Which of the actions we’ve covered is your health system already pursuing? Which should your organization be considering next? If access or capacity challenges are on your agenda, let’s connect to discuss how your organization can take the next step.

To discuss access and capacity challenges and how we help health systems determine and execute their strategic priorities, please contact us.

The authors would like to thank Jenny Mackey for her contributions to this article.

Note: AI was used in the drafting of this article.

L.E.K. Consulting is a registered trademark of L.E.K. Consulting LLC. All other products and brands mentioned in this document are properties of their respective owners. © 2026 L.E.K. Consulting LLC

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Supply Chain Simplification: Changing the Conversation Between Commercial and Operations

February 26, 2026

Businesses can unlock growth and profitability by simplifying their supply chains across supply chain processes and product portfolios. Yet many simplification efforts stall — not because the analysis is wrong, but because organizations struggle to translate insight into aligned decisions and sustained execution.

The root cause is structural. Commercial, finance and supply chain teams each carry distinct, and often competing, imperatives. Commercial teams seek differentiated offerings and responsiveness to customers. Finance teams prioritize margin and return on investment. Supply chain teams prefer level-loaded, predictable volume to maximize efficiency and capacity. Without a shared approach, these priorities pull in different directions, creating complexity that erodes margins and operational stability.

In this article, L.E.K. Consulting explores how companies can build cross-functional partnerships so simplification becomes systematic rather than episodic. The principles of supply chain simplification apply across industries, from building products to biopharma. Here, we draw on an example from the fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) industry to show how simplification can change how supply chain and commercial teams work together to create value for the business and its customers.

Creating a shared language

Cross-functional partnership isn’t about meetings. It requires a shared language to foster common ground. Otherwise, familiar patterns return. Commercial pushes growth, supply chain protects efficiency and finance arbitrates after the fact.

The foundation is a common performance framework that integrates commercial and supply chain metrics — revenue, margin and a quantified complexity score reflecting incremental end-to-end costs. This shared lens enables objective trade-offs between customer demand and operational impact.

At one FMCG company, supply chain leaders shared their complexity metric with commercial teams and made the downstream impact of upstream decisions explicit. Product attributes and pack formats increased production variability. Marketing and trade choices created demand spikes and upended forecasts. Channel strategies boosted cost to serve and inventory requirements.

Transparency was reciprocal. Commercial leaders defined what mattered most, pairing quantitative metrics with context around customer strategy and consumer value. They set this framework up front and held themselves accountable to it.

With shared definitions of value and complexity, a functional stalemate gave way to thoughtful trade-offs. The result was a cross-functional stock-keeping unit (SKU) matrix classifying products by revenue and complexity, enabling transparent choices between portfolio breadth and operational burden.

Embedding partnership into how work gets done

Shared language creates alignment, but process and accountability make it stick. Many simplification efforts fail because the decision process doesn’t change. One-off portfolio reviews or SKU rationalizations may reduce complexity temporarily, only for it to return as new products, pack formats and channel requirements flow into the system.

At our FMCG client, annual portfolio reviews were already in place. The difference was anchoring those discussions in a weighted complexity metric to support objective discussions about SKU additions, deletions and modifications. The company also embedded complexity considerations into its stage-gate process, ensuring new products were evaluated not only for revenue potential but also for incremental cost and supply chain risk.

Over time, these routines shifted behavior and ownership. Commercial and supply chain teams jointly owned targets tied to complexity and service levels, reframing simplification as a growth enabler rather than a cost-cutting exercise. Finance reinforced the partnership by translating operational complexity into profit-and-loss impact, making trade-offs tangible and visible.

Cross-functional scorecards and disciplined “lookbacks” sustained accountability. Many companies are rigorous about approving innovation but seldom revisit whether the complexity it introduced delivered value. A structured review process closes that gap and enables continuous improvement by making it part of how the business operates.

From initiative to enterprise capability

As people-centric as it is, cross-functional partnership is also a practical enabler of measurable business outcomes. In our FMCG example, simplification led to streamlined SKU portfolios, improved forecast accuracy, reduced changeover time and stronger alignment between sales planning and supply chain execution. Financially, the company improved contribution margins and reduced working capital requirements as teams optimized inventory and reduced obsolescence.

Companies looking to build and sustain this kind of partnership can start with four practical moves:

  1. Align on a fact base. Build a shared dashboard that integrates commercial value metrics with operational complexity scores, so all functions can see the full impact of portfolio and channel decisions.
  2. Reconfigure governance. Institutionalize cross-functional portfolio reviews, embed complexity into stage-gate criteria and align incentives to balanced outcomes.
  3. Invest in capability. Train teams to interpret complexity metrics and link them to financial impact. This reduces subjectivity and enables more consistent decisions.
  4. Track and iterate. Use cross-functional scorecards to monitor progress and refine decision rules, ensuring simplification gains are sustained as the portfolio evolves.

Simplification doesn’t work without creating aligned incentives. If functional goals, up to and including compensation and bonus structures, reward conflicting outcomes, collaboration can revert to siloed decision-making. For some companies, awareness and a collaborative culture are all that are required to create cross-functional value. In other environments, companies may need a more holistic operating model shift, moving from function-specific targets to shared goals and accountability for outcomes such as profitable growth, service and cost to serve.

Ultimately, simplification becomes sustainable only when companies make cross-functional decision-making systematic — with shared language, governance and incentives that turn complexity from a hidden tax into a managed strategic lever.

For more information, please contact us.

L.E.K. Consulting is a registered trademark of L.E.K. Consulting LLC. All other products and brands mentioned in this document are properties of their respective owners. © 2026 L.E.K. Consulting LLC

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Executive Insights

A Bifurcated Lab Market Is Reshaping Strategic Priorities and Capital Decisions

Insights from L.E.K.’s US Clinical Diagnostic Lab Survey (2025)
February 27, 2026

Key takeaways

Clinical diagnostic labs are bifurcated in economic health, with roughly half reporting being well positioned and half feeling financially constrained; this sentiment is consistent across all major lab types (AMCs, large community hospital labs, small/midsize community hospital labs and reference labs).

Major strategic priorities among labs center on driving operational discipline, including cost efficiency and revenue cycle management, while many financially well-positioned labs are also seeking to expand capacity and access new diagnostic technology.

Financially well-positioned labs are anticipating stronger revenue growth in the near term, suggesting the gap in financial health may widen.

In a sector increasingly split between labs that can invest selectively and those operating under constraints, IVD manufacturers should focus on tailoring value propositions to distinct customer realities and delivering tangible operational and financial outcomes.

Clinical diagnostic labs enter 2026 with steady demand and continued menu evolution. At the same time, reimbursement pressure, labor constraints and heightened capital scrutiny are reinforcing a disciplined proof-of-value posture, with spend driven by measurable operational and financial benefit.

L.E.K.’s U.S. Clinical Diagnostic Lab Survey captures perspectives from 100 executives and directors of hospital and multispecialty commercial labs to assess financial health, outlook, and strategic priorities, and to anticipate how demand signals and spending patterns may evolve.

In this edition of L.E.K. Consulting’s Executive Insights, we highlight four themes shaping 2026-2028 investment decisions and discuss the implications for diagnostics original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and lab suppliers.

Four dynamics shaping 2026-2028 investment decisions

1. There is a bifurcation in financial health, regardless of lab setting

Roughly 40%-50% of labs describe themselves as well positioned (solid/improving or strategically strong), while 50%-60% report being constrained or at heightened financial risk (see Figure 1).

Figure 1

Financial health, by lab type

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Figure 1 represents financial health, by lab type

Figure 1

Financial health, by lab type

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Figure 1 represents financial health, by lab type

Notably, this split appears broadly consistent across academic medical centers (AMCs), community hospitals and reference labs, with no clear pattern tied to lab size or modality mix, pointing to broad structural pressures rather than challenges isolated to specific segments. On the other hand, lab financial health appears to vary regionally, with approximately 50% of labs in the South and West reporting being financially well positioned compared with about 25% in the Northeast and Midwest. This may partly reflect faster population growth and higher chronic care demand in the South and West regions.

2. Revenue outlook is positive, but well-positioned labs expect to outpace constrained peers

Financially well-positioned labs have a positive revenue growth outlook, with nearly 60% expecting 5%+ annual increases and another 35% expecting 1%-4% annual increases (see Figure 2). Financially constrained labs, in contrast, are less optimistic, with around 35% expecting flat or decreasing revenue and another roughly 35% expecting modest 1%-4% annual increases, suggesting that topline expansion may not be sufficient to offset structural cost inflation or meaningfully expand operating flexibility for these labs. The differential between well-positioned and constrained labs also suggests that the divergence could expand as the overall market grows, with stronger labs better positioned to reinvest in capacity, menu and technology expansion than their constrained peers.

Figure 2

Expected annual total test revenue change in the next three years, by lab financial health

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Figure 2 represents expected annual total test revenue change in the next three years, by lab financial health

Figure 2

Expected annual total test revenue change in the next three years, by lab financial health

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Figure 2 represents expected annual total test revenue change in the next three years, by lab financial health

AMCs and reference labs express greater optimism than community hospital labs in expected revenue growth, with 45%-60% of experts from AMCs/reference labs projecting 5%+ annual revenue growth over the next three years versus 25%-40% among community hospital labs. Notably, approximately 15% of labs expect a revenue decline over the next three years, mostly in hospital labs.

Even with expected revenue growth, capital budgets are largely expected to be flat or only modestly up. Across lab segments, the majority of respondents (roughly 60%) anticipate no change or only slight increases (<5%) in annual capital budgets for new or upgraded equipment over the next three years, signaling conservatism in near-term instrumentation spend outside of reagent rental models.

3. Strategic priorities converge on operating discipline, with divergence on growth versus resilience

Across financial cohorts, labs’ near-term priorities are anchored on operational discipline. Improving operational and cost efficiency and improving revenue capture/revenue cycle management sit at the top of the agenda for both constrained and financially strong labs (see Figure 3). Workforce challenges also remain a pervasive operational bottleneck for both constrained and well-positioned systems.

Figure 3

Current lab strategic priorities, by lab financial status

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Figure 3 represents current lab strategic priorities, by lab financial status

Figure 3

Current lab strategic priorities, by lab financial status

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Figure 3 represents current lab strategic priorities, by lab financial status

Where priorities diverge are in second-tier actions that signal the ability to invest versus the need to defend. Financially strong labs place materially greater emphasis on expanding capacity and lab footprint as well as securing access to new diagnostic technology, reflecting a posture that extends beyond stabilization into selective growth and modernization. In contrast, constrained labs place materially higher emphasis on supply chain and inventory management (51% vs. 32%), consistent with limited tolerance for shortages, price volatility and backorders that can disrupt service and revenue capture.

Although embedding artificial intelligence (AI) into operations ranks lower among stated strategic priorities, many labs are already deploying it selectively to drive efficiency. About 60% of surveyed labs report at least trialing AI in selected workflows, led by reference labs (approximately 70%) and large community hospitals (roughly 65%), followed by AMCs (about 55%) and small community hospitals (around 45%). AI adoption today is concentrated in analytical workflows/ test interpretation and result reporting and delivery.

Looking ahead, roughly 90% of experts expect broader AI use within three years, with expanding applications including quality control and specimen triage and prioritization. Wider adoption of AI will depend on demonstrating clear operational return on investment (ROI) and directly supporting top lab strategic priorities, particularly efficiency gains and revenue capture.

Notably, the survey also indicates that strategic priorities are broadly consistent across lab settings and lab sizes, underscoring that the emphasis on productivity and efficiency is consistent across labs in AMCs, community hospitals and reference environments.

Implications for in vitro diagnostics manufacturers: How to win in a bifurcated market

As purchasing decisions place greater emphasis on demonstrated ROI and ease of execution, suppliers will increasingly need to meet labs where they are — recognizing that a one-size-fits-all value proposition will not resonate equally with financially strong and financially constrained labs.

The following implications summarize how OEMs and lab suppliers can win in this environment:

  1. Tailor the value proposition by financial posture. Financially strong labs are more likely to prioritize modernization and selective growth, whereas constrained labs will be more focused on near-term stabilization and resilience; suppliers should segment messaging, offerings and commercial approaches accordingly.
  2. Lead with quantified operational and economic outcomes. Labs’ “table stakes” increasingly emphasize demonstrable impact over general claims — suppliers should translate solutions (including end-to-end automations) into measurable improvements in key lab outcomes (e.g., throughput, turnaround time, utilization, first-pass yield, labor productivity, revenue capture/denials) and articulate the economic value clearly.
  3. Reduce adoption friction through execution support. Given staffing constraints and limited tolerance for disruption, implementation capabilities (workflow design, training, information technology/connectivity, change management, service models with guaranteed uptime, remote monitoring) increasingly influence purchase decisions alongside product performance.

Conclusion

Our 2025 Clinical Diagnostic Lab Survey depicts a sector increasingly split between labs that can invest selectively and those operating under meaningful constraint. Most labs expect revenue growth through 2028, but stronger labs anticipate faster growth, potentially reinforcing divergence. For OEMs and suppliers, success will depend on tailoring value propositions to distinct customer realities, delivering quantified operational and financial outcomes, and providing robust execution support.

In an upcoming edition of Executive Insights, we will explore how test demand is growing across key modalities, how labs are adopting emerging technology platforms including next-generation sequencing and digital pathology, and more.

To discuss these findings and how your organization can position itself for success in this evolving environment, please contact us.

Note: AI was used to support the drafting of this article.

L.E.K. Consulting is a registered trademark of L.E.K. Consulting LLC. All other products and brands mentioned in this document are properties of their respective owners. © 2026 L.E.K. Consulting LLC

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