The industry has seen a wave of consolidations — low interest rates have made it easy for businesses and investors to source debt and justify high valuations. During this process, organic growth was largely overlooked.
The increase in interest rates will change fundamental dynamics; firstly, wealth managers can no longer rely on asset appreciation alone to deliver growth. Secondly, high valuation (e.g., 16- and 17-times multiples) will need to be justified based on substance (i.e., strong organic growth and ability to create value). This is not to say that high valuations would not exist anymore — it just means that the industry will divide into those who can rightfully command it vs those who cannot.
Regulations present new challenges and opportunities too, with both consumer duty and environmental, social and governance (ESG) report requirements set to create higher standards that will ultimately favour scale and a new wave of consolidation. The opportunity for investors remains compelling, but this means that we are now entering a period of ‘survival of the fittest’ in the wealth management sector.
How we are helping clients
How can our clients become one of the “ultimate winners”? In our view, they can achieve this by being a high-quality wealth management business that creates value through three pillars: Commercial effectiveness, using the right technology to generate efficiency and creating more value from M&A.
“Wealth managers need to create good quality, and we know what quality looks like.”
— Bronswe Cheung, London, Partner