Specialty-level PPM trends and headroom
Given significant PPM deal activity over the past four years, L.E.K. Consulting has updated its proprietary PPM maturity curve (see Figure 3). No specialties have reverted to a lower “maturity” category, but several have seen significant activity in recent years and moved up:
- Nascent to emerging: Cardiology has seen accelerated rates of consolidation, with an increase from one PE-owned group with seven locations in 2019 to 50 PE-owned groups with 320 locations in 2023.
- Emerging to developing: Ophthalmology, orthopedics, physical therapy, radiology, orthotics and prosthetics clinics have all experienced continued practice consolidation and growth in the number of physicians employed by large, scaled groups.
- Developing to mature: Emergency medicine is the only specialty to move to the mature category, joining nephrology. Emergency medicine is increasingly concentrated with large groups like Team Health, Sound Physicians and SCP Health.
We have also added two new specialties to our PPM curve analysis, denoted with a green star: pathology (emerging) and hospital medicine (developing).
Significant consolidation opportunities remain across specialties. In 13 of 32 specialties we tracked, less than 15% of physicians are employed by a PPM or large group platform. Of the remaining specialties, 17 are still developing and present additional roll-up opportunities for investors, health systems and other strategic buyers.